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November 20th, 2008

NFL Week 12 Picks: Indianapolis Colts Vs San Diego Chargers

 

The Colts will be traveling across the country to Qualcomm Stadium to battle their AFC rival
 San Diego Chargers this Sunday night, November 23rd at 8:15 PM EST.

 The Colts are in second place In the AFC South with a two game lead over third place Jacksonville.
 The 3-point underdog Colts have won three consecutive games and In week 11 the Indianapolis Colts
 beat the Texans 33-27 improving to a 6-4 record. One important component of the winning streak
 has been the lack of turnovers. Peyton Manning completed 30 of 36 passes for 320 yards and
 two touchdowns, and he was not sacked in a win over the Texans on Sunday.

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October 28th, 2008

NFL Week 9 PicksNew England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts

 

 

Just last year this would have probably been hailed as game of the year.  However, it’s amazing how fast things can change in a year.  The Colts, 3-4 will entire the month of November with a below .500 record for the first time under head coach Tony Dungy.  They have looked pedestrian at best, and they are coming off one of their worse losses of the year, a 31-21 loss to the 7-0 Titans, a game where the final score made it seem closer than it was.  There are rumors that Peyton Manning’s knee is bothering him, and/or that it hasn’t fully recovered since the offseason surgery he had, which prevented him from playing a single down during the preseason.  At least the Colts have their quarterback, as Tom Brady continues to watch from the sidelines, as he will the rest of the year.

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January 15th, 2008

AFC Championship: San Diego Chargers vs. New England Patriots

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All through the year the Indianapolis Colts quietly put together a good season and were believed to be a sold match in the playoffs for the Patriots once they met. The San Diego Chargers had other plans. A lot of times in sports people assume things are just going to automatically happen. After the close loss to the Patriots in week eight everyone felt they would meet again in the playoffs, even after losing to the Chargers in week nine. The majority of people also felt that the Chargers would be a mere stepping stone to a second match against the undefeated and Super Bowl favorite Patriots. The Chargers got it done, but not without facing some serious injuries that could put them at an even greater disadvantage against the Pats then when they lost to them 38-14 in week two.

Quarterback Phillip Rivers, running back LaDainian Tomlinson, and tight end Antonio Gates are all currently on the injury list heading into the AFC championship. Rivers is listed as questionable with an injured leg. Backup Billy Volek performed admirably after taking only ten snaps the entire regular season. Tomilinson did not play in the second half because of a sprain left knee and his current status is unknown. Chargers fans do know it’s bad though, because if LT can play he usually does, and seeing him dejected on the sideline the entire second half has to be a let down. Finally, Gates entered the game with a dislocated toe, an injury he suffered in the first round victory over the Titans. Gates caught two balls for 28 yards, but was visibly hobbling throughout the contest. The New England Patriots were all ready slated to be huge favorites, but even if just one of these players can’t play, especially Tomlinson or Rivers, then you might see the biggest spread in playoff history. To say the odds are stacked against the Chargers would be an understatement. There eight game winning streak, including the playoffs, is certainly in jeopardy.

Of course, for the Patriots it’s business as usual. Tom Brady is mentioned on the injury list as questionable, but he always seems to be, and week after week he’s fine. He’ll be playing. Rodney Harrison is also on the injury list, but this is also just going through the routine, as Harrison secured an important interception against Jacksonville in the first round of the playoffs. The 31-20 win of the Jags doesn’t tell the story of how close the game actually was. This is probably a good thing for the Pats though so they don’t grow complacent. However in my opinion, and the eyes of others, if the Chargers are as banged up as they appear to be, then this game won’t be much of a contest. Brady went 26 for 28 for a 92.9 percentage completion, the highest in playoff history. He also threw three touchdowns in the win. Randy Moss was almost completely shutdown by the Jaguars defense, catching one ball for 14 yards, but Wes Welker and Daunte Stallworth filled in just fine. They have so many weapons on the team you just have to pick your poison and hope for the best.

I guess it’s no surprise when I pick the Patriots here. I’ve picked them all season, and thankfully they have led me to a 17-0 record. At least when picking Patriots games. I think the injuries, and the Patriots offensive proficiency will be much too much for the Chargers to handle, especially in Foxboro. I predict a final score of something like 35 to 14.

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January 8th, 2008

AFC Divisional Playoffs: Jacksonville vs. New England

 

The Jacksonville Jaguars advanced to the divisional playoffs with a 31-29 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Pittsburgh. As a reward, after such a hard fought battle, they get to take on the undefeated, and rested, New England Patriots. While the New England Patriots have looked beatable the majority of the last part of the year, they have continued to find ways to win, and are still the overwhelming odds on favorite of sweeping the post season and holding up the Lombardi trophy the first Sunday in February.

Jaguars quarterback David Garrard managed to get through the entire regular season throwing just three interceptions, but he nearly matched his total with two in the victory of the Steelers. He finished that game just 9 for 20 with 140 yards passing and a touchdown. It was the play of running backs Fred Taylor, and Maurice Jones-Drew who ultimately led them over the hurdle, combining for three touchdowns. It is Taylor who has been shunned by Pro Bowl voters every year he’s been in the league, but it was the play of the young Jones-Drew, with two touchdowns, that was the deciding factor overall. A successful duo of two high quality running backs is always a good thing, never a bad thing, when trying to run deep into the playoffs. If there has been one knock on the Patriots is that they have struggled against the run a bit. At least, struggled as much as a team who has won every game they’ve played. Jacksonville is also expected to be every bit as physical at the Patriots, a fact they tack pride of.

The New England Patriots got a week of rest to enjoy their body of work, which included multiple records set by the duo of Tom Brady and Randy Moss. To give an example of the dominance the Patriots had this year they scored 589 points this year. The next closest team in their division scored 268. On defense they gave up 274 points. The next closest in their division gave up 354. However, as mentioned, the last few weeks of the season weren’t a cakewalk for the Patriots. Even in the final game of the year the Pats needed a second half comeback to defeat the New York Giants 38-35 in a game of the year candidate that ultimately have very little effect on the regular season, other then the fact the Giants were trying to end the undefeated streak. If Giants fans have their way, they’ll be seeing each other again in February.

As odds on favorite it’s no surprise when I pick the Patriots to win this game. I am not sure Garrard has enough big game experience to lead his troops against the defense of the Patriots. I think defensively they can keep it close, but as the game wears on I think the Patriots will take a steady lead, eventually winning by nearly three touchdowns.

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