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January 18th, 2008

NBA Basketball Thursday: San Antonio vs. Miami

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Things in Miami aren’t looking so hot, at least on the basketball court. As of this writing the team has lost 11 games in row. Things started poorly when Dwayne Wade went down with in injury in the opening games of the season, and have continued to spiral out of control since. Coach Pat Riley is continually on the hot seat, and the play of Shaquille O’Neal has also slowed down, which can be expected from a player who had the term “hack a Shaq,” named especially for him. Wade is back, and is personally playing well, averaging over 24 points a game, but as the old adage goes, he can’t do it all himself. Back up center Alonzo Mourning is also gone for the year, putting even more stress on the bench. Things won’t get any better when the Spurs come into town.

San Antonio is also in a mini-funk, losing five of ten, and owning a below .500 record on the road. Like the Heat, the Spurs tough road can be attributed to bad health. Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili have both seen considerable time on the injury list this year, but seem to be coming out of it now, bad news for the rest of the league. Tony Parker is currently the number one offensive weapon on the team, averaging 20.2 points a game.

The Heat are a team that are sinking fast. I guess it won’t be a shocker here when I expect the Spurs, despite the slight slide lately, will go to Miami and take care of business in their generally usually effective way.

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January 17th, 2008

Battle of the Legends: Felix “Tito” Trinidad vs. Roy Jones Jr.

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When I was a wrestling fan growing up in the late 80’s and early 90’s every once in a while they would have a “loser leaves town match.” In these matches, the loser would ultimately retire from the sport (or show up at another federation a week later) while the winner continued on. When I see this boxing match between once two great legends, it’s hard for me not to think of those old wrestling matches. For both of these guys, their best days are behind them, arguably way behind them. However, it is still in intriguing match-up from the sense that they are expected to be somewhat evenly matched, and because these two names were some of the biggest starts to come out of boxing over the last twenty years. Not every match can have a ton of meaning in the grand aspect of the sport, but if you are fan of the sport then maybe you can justify this one as paying homage to two great warriors of the past.

Roy Jones Jr. (51-4 38 KO’s) is believed to have a little more in the tank the Trinidad at this point, although not much. Jones has won his last two matches, after dropping three in a row, two of those by knockouts. The first knockout came to the hands of Tarver by a second round KO, a complete shock, to say the least. That fight was a rematch of a majority decision Jones had held over Tarver. Prior to that Tarver fight Jones had perhaps one of the most impressive streaks of boxing history where he went nearly seven years hardly ever dropping a round on a judges scorecard. He was considered by many to be the best pound for pound fighter of this generation, but the Tarver loss obviously shook him of that boxing god persona. The two losses following the Tarver KO was a freighting brutal ninth round KO by the hands of Glen Johnson, and then a decision loss to nemesis Tarver. A win over an inactive Trinidad hardly gets him back into the mix of the best fighters in the world, but it will keep him noticed, and a victory there, plus name power alone, will get him another title shot, if that’s the path he chooses to take. Jones always had the personal of being a business man over a boxer and people feel he is taking this fight merely for a payday. There is also rumors that he is having a hard time making the agreed upon catch weight of 170 pounds. In boxing it’s hard to determine what is true and what is talk, but this isn’t the first time Jones has used the weight loss excuse. After the Tarver loss he says weight loss was to blame after coming down from the heavyweight limits where he beat then WBA champion John Ruiz. If he can make weight he should have a clear size advantage.

Trinidad (45-2 38 KO’s) will be fighting for the first time in his career over the 160 pound mark. It’s been said Trinidad walks around at around 190 pounds, but it is also believed that he will simply have too much meat on his bones at 170. Also, this will be Tito’s first fight since he was somewhat embarrassed and shutout on the scorecards on May 14th 2005 against Winky Wright. This is also only Trinidad’s third fight since 2002. If there are weight rumors regarding Jones then of course there are rumors regarding Trinidad. Trinidad is training in his home country of Puerto Rico, but it is being reported that he is training with fighters of little note. For an apparent big fight like this it is a surprise to hear that Trinidad is sparring against either lesser known pros or amateurs. It appears he too may be fighting for just a paycheck. After all, what else could send him out of a nearly two year retirement which he apparently enjoys greatly? It’s also a question to see if Trinidad can carry his weight all the way up to 170. He seemed to have carried it up to 160, despite not being able to land very many clean shots on Wright. But, with Jones’s chin apparently breakable, that also adds another intangible to fight night.

I see this fight going one of two ways. In the Wright fight Trinidad had no plan B, and continually walked into jabs by his opponent over and over. While Wright and Jones are clearly different fighters it makes you wonder if Jones will find something that works and box his way to a boring victory. However, if Jones is really having weight problems then he could be a late round knock out candidate. If Trinidad does one thing well it’s apply pressure. He also has one of the best left hooks in the past 50 years, and everyone is fairly positive he could crack the chin of Jones, ala Tarver, if he can land just one flush shot. I lean more towards the decision victory for Jones, but because of the possibility of a Trinidad KO, I will be turning in to watch. Like I said, this fight is probably about five to 10 years too late, but because of what each fighter will gave me in the past, I will gladly pay to watch as they ride off into their futures.

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January 16th, 2008

NCAA Basketball Saturday: USC vs. (5) UCLA

 

This Saturday brings us a game between two teams vying for top basketball school in the state of California. The USC Trojans are much improved, including an impressive freshman class including superstar O.J. Mayo, but they have struggled as of late. UCLA is ranked in fifth in the country, and except for one small blip on their schedule, they have played some of the best basketball in the country.

This game features arguably the two best freshmen in the country. Mayo and Kevin Love are both already leaders of their respective teams, and also leaders in points. Mayo is leading the Trojans with 20.1 points a game, while Love leads his team with 16.1. Love is also averaging 10.2 rebounds, meaning a double-double. The Bruins lone loss came to the hands of Texas 63 to 61. Since then they have reeled off seven straight wins, including victories at Michigan and at Stanford. The closest a team has came to beating them since the two point loss in nine points, against Stanford. They are on a roll, which is great, as Pac-10 play is in full effect.

A team not starting off too hot in conference play is the Trojans. As of this game they’ve dropped both games, and are losers of five of their last eight. Even before the UCLA game USC meets undefeated Washington State and Washington, both potential losses. I don’t expect it to get any easier for the Trojans when they travel to Los Angeles.

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January 15th, 2008

AFC Championship: San Diego Chargers vs. New England Patriots

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All through the year the Indianapolis Colts quietly put together a good season and were believed to be a sold match in the playoffs for the Patriots once they met. The San Diego Chargers had other plans. A lot of times in sports people assume things are just going to automatically happen. After the close loss to the Patriots in week eight everyone felt they would meet again in the playoffs, even after losing to the Chargers in week nine. The majority of people also felt that the Chargers would be a mere stepping stone to a second match against the undefeated and Super Bowl favorite Patriots. The Chargers got it done, but not without facing some serious injuries that could put them at an even greater disadvantage against the Pats then when they lost to them 38-14 in week two.

Quarterback Phillip Rivers, running back LaDainian Tomlinson, and tight end Antonio Gates are all currently on the injury list heading into the AFC championship. Rivers is listed as questionable with an injured leg. Backup Billy Volek performed admirably after taking only ten snaps the entire regular season. Tomilinson did not play in the second half because of a sprain left knee and his current status is unknown. Chargers fans do know it’s bad though, because if LT can play he usually does, and seeing him dejected on the sideline the entire second half has to be a let down. Finally, Gates entered the game with a dislocated toe, an injury he suffered in the first round victory over the Titans. Gates caught two balls for 28 yards, but was visibly hobbling throughout the contest. The New England Patriots were all ready slated to be huge favorites, but even if just one of these players can’t play, especially Tomlinson or Rivers, then you might see the biggest spread in playoff history. To say the odds are stacked against the Chargers would be an understatement. There eight game winning streak, including the playoffs, is certainly in jeopardy.

Of course, for the Patriots it’s business as usual. Tom Brady is mentioned on the injury list as questionable, but he always seems to be, and week after week he’s fine. He’ll be playing. Rodney Harrison is also on the injury list, but this is also just going through the routine, as Harrison secured an important interception against Jacksonville in the first round of the playoffs. The 31-20 win of the Jags doesn’t tell the story of how close the game actually was. This is probably a good thing for the Pats though so they don’t grow complacent. However in my opinion, and the eyes of others, if the Chargers are as banged up as they appear to be, then this game won’t be much of a contest. Brady went 26 for 28 for a 92.9 percentage completion, the highest in playoff history. He also threw three touchdowns in the win. Randy Moss was almost completely shutdown by the Jaguars defense, catching one ball for 14 yards, but Wes Welker and Daunte Stallworth filled in just fine. They have so many weapons on the team you just have to pick your poison and hope for the best.

I guess it’s no surprise when I pick the Patriots here. I’ve picked them all season, and thankfully they have led me to a 17-0 record. At least when picking Patriots games. I think the injuries, and the Patriots offensive proficiency will be much too much for the Chargers to handle, especially in Foxboro. I predict a final score of something like 35 to 14.

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January 14th, 2008

NCAA Basketball: (24) Arizona vs. (23) Stanford

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Basketball fans could really not ask for a more balanced basketball game then the match-up between the Arizona Wildcats and the Stanford Cardinals. Stanford has a better record on paper, but Arizona has played the harder competition. Arizona is also without their longtime coach Lute Olsen, who has left the team for personal reasons, a leave of absence that will last the duration of this season. As the saying goes, “The band must play on,” and play on they have.

Freshman Jerryd Bayless is averaging 18.5 points per game in his rookie season. Only one of their losses, that to number two ranked Memphis, was more then 10 points. However, they have been in the midst of a downslide recently, losing three of four. In the stacked Pac-10 to continue to play this way would be a recipe for disaster. Hopefully for the sake of Wildcat fans they can get a good win over a decent team in Stanford.

It won’t be easy though. Since sophomore Brook Lopez returned from injury he has averaged 15.8 points and 7.6 rebounds a contest, making an immediate impact. Stanford’s only loss since a very unexpected loss to Siena to Sienna in November, was to UCLA. Their last win, as of this writing, came by four points over a much improved USC team by six points.

Everything here points to a Stanford victory. They are playing at home, and have been on the hotter streak of late.

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January 12th, 2008

NBA Thursday: Phoenix Suns vs. LA Lakers

 

What a difference a winning streak makes. At the beginning of the season rumors swirled nearly every day regarding a trade of Kobe Bryant to any number of teams. Fans were even calling for the firing of Phil Jackson, and the relationship between players and front office wasn’t exactly cordial. Then something funny happened, the Lakers starting winning, and are being called by many the second or third best team in the west, and they are playing like it. Bryant is still Bryant, averaging over 26 points a game, and a threat to go for 50 every night, but it’s the play of Andrew Bynum that has really turned heads. Bynum is averaging 12.1 points, 10 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks a game. What may be more impressive is he 62 percent field goal percentage, which means, when he gets the ball, he’s finishing. Bynum has been giving just as much praise for the turnaround as any of the other players, including Bryant.

It’s not much you start off a story without mentioning the high flying Suns, but the Lakers are actually playing better. The Suns are still very good though, with Steve Nash continuing to play highly successful basketball. Nash is averaging 12 assists a game, with a good portion of those going to Amare Stoudemire and his 22 points a game. Stodemire is also averaging 9.1 rebounds a game.

At one time this was an easy Suns win. Not so fast now. I’m picking the Lakers to win this one. The momentum they currently have makes them a favorite over just about any team, in my opinion.

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January 11th, 2008

NBA Thursday: Cleveland at San Antonio

The Cleveland Cavaliers are playing much better now that they have the majority of their team intact, but how will that translate against the defending NBA champions and winners of all by two home games? As of this writing, the Cavs have won seven of ten games. LeBron James leads the league in scoring with 29 points a contest. He also leads his team in assists with 7.5 and also averages nearly the same amount of rebounds a game, a true “jack of all trades.” When LeBron James was injured earlier in the season he told the league to enjoy getting their victories against them now, because when the team is back together things will be different. This will be their chance to prove that now.

The Spurs are actually suffering a little of that same bad luck the Cavs had with injuries. Manu Ginobili is out and Tim Duncan, the perennial all-star, is listed as day to day. Without his two best teammates, Tony Parker, who leads his team with 20 points a game, will have to find even more ways to contribute to his team. The Spurs are filled with a bunch of solid vets, but it’s hard to say if any of those will be able to step up after playing second fiddle for so long.

With Bruce Bowen guarding James you may be able to keep the scoring down a bit, but with missing the other big guns you might be outdone. With the game being in San Antonio it does even things out a bit, but I feel the Cavs might be able to pull off a semi-upset here.

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January 10th, 2008

NCAA Basketball Thursday: (4) Washington State vs. USC

 

The Washington State Cougars are off to their best start in school history, but will have a stiff challenge as they travel to California to take on O.J. Mayo and the USC Trojans. The Cougars have opened the season 12-0, and have looked great doing it. Their biggest victory of the year came against the Gonzaga Bulldogs, in Gonzaga, one of the toughest places to play in the entire country. Other than that four point victory, they really haven’t been tested much, but to be fair their schedule hasn’t been that hard. They are a very balanced team, which sees three of their starters averaging double digits, led by the 13 by senior guard Derrick Low. Also, here comes a stat that is almost unheard of in this day and age. The top seven players who see significant playing time with the Cougars are either a junior or a senior. They are clearly not lacking experience, which will be a huge plus the deeper they get into the season.

Mayo made big news when he decided to go to USC, a move that surprised some, as USC isn’t seen as a huge powerhouse school. His signing brought the school instant attention, and he has the team playing fairly well. As of this writing they are 9-3. In my opinion I think this is the hardest game of the year for Washington State. The Trojans have played tough with everyone they’ve played, including an overtime loss to the number two team in the country, Memphis Tigers.

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January 9th, 2008

NCAA Basketball Thursday: Illinois at Wisconsin

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This game is a battle of teams heading in the opposite direction. Wisconsin is in the top-25, as they have been for the past few years, and Illinois is starting to lose games at home they haven’t lost in nearly a decade. Illinois has a Jordan on their team, but he may be a year or two away before he has any kind of impact on a game.

The Fighting Illini are perhaps coming off the most embarrassing loss in school history, when they lost to visiting Tennessee State 60-58 on December 30th. That wasn’t their only unexpected loss at home this year either. Just 10 days before the Tennessee upset Illinois was beat by Miami of Ohio University. While Miami of Ohio has improved in recent years, the loss still came as a shock. Now that it seems common place, Illinois would like to knock off Wisconsin in an attempt to get a return to normalcy.

That most likely won’t be happening, especially if the Badgers have anything to say about it. They have already beat Texas at Texas, which is always a good win. However, whenever they have stepped up, including games against Duke and Marquette, they have been defeated, and in the case of Duke, a bad loss, 82 to 58.

The Big Ten is known for rivalry games, and this is one of them. Sometimes you can throw records out the window, but when you consider Illinois is coming off one of the toughest losses in school history, and then it’s a little hard to favor them in this game.

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January 8th, 2008

AFC Divisional Playoffs: Jacksonville vs. New England

 

The Jacksonville Jaguars advanced to the divisional playoffs with a 31-29 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Pittsburgh. As a reward, after such a hard fought battle, they get to take on the undefeated, and rested, New England Patriots. While the New England Patriots have looked beatable the majority of the last part of the year, they have continued to find ways to win, and are still the overwhelming odds on favorite of sweeping the post season and holding up the Lombardi trophy the first Sunday in February.

Jaguars quarterback David Garrard managed to get through the entire regular season throwing just three interceptions, but he nearly matched his total with two in the victory of the Steelers. He finished that game just 9 for 20 with 140 yards passing and a touchdown. It was the play of running backs Fred Taylor, and Maurice Jones-Drew who ultimately led them over the hurdle, combining for three touchdowns. It is Taylor who has been shunned by Pro Bowl voters every year he’s been in the league, but it was the play of the young Jones-Drew, with two touchdowns, that was the deciding factor overall. A successful duo of two high quality running backs is always a good thing, never a bad thing, when trying to run deep into the playoffs. If there has been one knock on the Patriots is that they have struggled against the run a bit. At least, struggled as much as a team who has won every game they’ve played. Jacksonville is also expected to be every bit as physical at the Patriots, a fact they tack pride of.

The New England Patriots got a week of rest to enjoy their body of work, which included multiple records set by the duo of Tom Brady and Randy Moss. To give an example of the dominance the Patriots had this year they scored 589 points this year. The next closest team in their division scored 268. On defense they gave up 274 points. The next closest in their division gave up 354. However, as mentioned, the last few weeks of the season weren’t a cakewalk for the Patriots. Even in the final game of the year the Pats needed a second half comeback to defeat the New York Giants 38-35 in a game of the year candidate that ultimately have very little effect on the regular season, other then the fact the Giants were trying to end the undefeated streak. If Giants fans have their way, they’ll be seeing each other again in February.

As odds on favorite it’s no surprise when I pick the Patriots to win this game. I am not sure Garrard has enough big game experience to lead his troops against the defense of the Patriots. I think defensively they can keep it close, but as the game wears on I think the Patriots will take a steady lead, eventually winning by nearly three touchdowns.

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